Post by account_disabled on Feb 22, 2024 2:51:13 GMT -7
In early February, the St Louis Federal Reserve branch published a blog post warning that higher interest rates could “complicate” banks' finances. The publication was as prophetic as it was optimistic. Federal Reserve supervisors said rising interest rates created “challenges and opportunities for banks.” They suggested that banks should carefully analyze the situation, but also said there were several measures banks could take to mitigate any problems. Less than a month later, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failed, largely due to the effect of sharply higher interest rates, beginning the worst period of banking turmoil since the Great Financial Crisis. Signature Bank quickly followed him into the abyss. Shares of dozens of banks plunged, also raising questions about their survival. In Europe, UBS bought long-suffering Credit Suisse in a government-backed deal that saved its rival from collapse.
Emergency measures by the Federal Reserve, billions of dollars from the federal deposit insurance fund and tens of billions of loans from federal government-backed home loan banks quelled the crisis. Few, if any, banks Pakistan Phone Number now appear to be at risk of failure. However, while the crisis has passed, the challenge posed by higher interest rates, as the St. Louis Federal Reserve warned in May, has not. Higher interest rates have ushered in a new normal in the banking industry. A slowing economy and increased scrutiny from regulators following recent bank failures have greatly limited the amount of loans banks can make at high rates. And banks are seeing the effects of higher rates on borrowers, particularly those in commercial real estate. Defaults on corporate loans, which generally carry floating interest rates (meaning they automatically adjust with market rates, not just when the borrower refinances) are also increasing.
Recommended The European Central Bank warned in May that European lenders, such as the SVB and other troubled U.S. banks, would see the value of their assets fall faster, on average, than the value of their debts, a particularly bad scenario for a bank. . if interest rates continued to rise. For the average bank, the central bank concluded, the decline in book value would be a very manageable 4 percent. But the ECB also found that, for a quarter of European banks, the impact of rising interest rates would be high enough to force them to take action to mitigate the damage. Several institutions, including Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, already appear to be abandoning the notion that the best model for a global bank is to offer all services to everyone (the supermarket banking model), something that seemed to be the banking gospel just a year ago. time. a decade ago. “Right now you have to look at every business from the ground up and not from the bottom up,” says Greg Hertrich, head of deposit strategy at Nomura.
Emergency measures by the Federal Reserve, billions of dollars from the federal deposit insurance fund and tens of billions of loans from federal government-backed home loan banks quelled the crisis. Few, if any, banks Pakistan Phone Number now appear to be at risk of failure. However, while the crisis has passed, the challenge posed by higher interest rates, as the St. Louis Federal Reserve warned in May, has not. Higher interest rates have ushered in a new normal in the banking industry. A slowing economy and increased scrutiny from regulators following recent bank failures have greatly limited the amount of loans banks can make at high rates. And banks are seeing the effects of higher rates on borrowers, particularly those in commercial real estate. Defaults on corporate loans, which generally carry floating interest rates (meaning they automatically adjust with market rates, not just when the borrower refinances) are also increasing.
Recommended The European Central Bank warned in May that European lenders, such as the SVB and other troubled U.S. banks, would see the value of their assets fall faster, on average, than the value of their debts, a particularly bad scenario for a bank. . if interest rates continued to rise. For the average bank, the central bank concluded, the decline in book value would be a very manageable 4 percent. But the ECB also found that, for a quarter of European banks, the impact of rising interest rates would be high enough to force them to take action to mitigate the damage. Several institutions, including Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, already appear to be abandoning the notion that the best model for a global bank is to offer all services to everyone (the supermarket banking model), something that seemed to be the banking gospel just a year ago. time. a decade ago. “Right now you have to look at every business from the ground up and not from the bottom up,” says Greg Hertrich, head of deposit strategy at Nomura.